We are doubly blessed to have both Idris Elba and Helen Mirren in our lives, so it seems fair that both of these actors received two individual Screen Actors Guild Award nominations this year.
Mirren has been honored for her lead role in Woman in Gold and her supporting part in Trumbo. For Elba, his nominations span media, with a nod for lead actor in a TV show for Luther and for his supporting role in the Netflix film Beasts of No Nation. Mark Rylance of Wolf Hall and Bridge of Spies also received two individual nominations this year.
So what are the chances these gifted performers will be walking out of Saturday’s big event with an award in each hand?
We brought out the calculators and stacks of microfiche to get the hard numbers on how past SAG Award double nominees have fared. Here’s what the odds have to say.
There have been twenty four instances where an actor has received two individual nominations in the same year since the Screen Actors Guild Awards began in 1995. Julianne Moore has accomplished the feat twice, in both 2000 and 2003, while Jamie Foxx was actually nominated for three individual awards in 2005.
Out of those nominations, actors went home with nothing on their big evening 13 times. This include titans like Leonardo DiCaprio, Nicole Kidman, Cate Blanchett and Moore (on both occasions) leaving empty-handed. That’s more than half of all double nominees departing the event with nothing.
Ten stars departed the show with only one award of their double nomination. This leaves a single actor who has managed to conquer both of the individual categories he or she was nominated for in the same year.
And this champion is … Helen Mirren! Yes, this double nomination business is old hat for the actress, and it’s a hat she wears well. In 2006, Mirren won outstanding performance by a female actor in a leading role for The Queen and also earned outstanding performance by a female actor in a miniseries or television movie for Elizabeth I. How royal!
Looking at the historical data, this year’s nominees rocking a double nom have a just over a 43 percent chance of winning once – unless you are Mirren. That Dame has 100% track record with her double nominations thus far.